What we know so far, after 1 by-election, 35 out of 107 councils, and 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared.
Bad for the Conservatives. Good for Labour, Lib Dems, Greens, and Reform UK.
Conservatives have:
- Lost the Blackpool South by-election on a 26% swing (the third biggest by-election swing largest in post-war period).
- Lost control of 3 councils (North East Lincolnshire, Redditch and Rushmore), out of 6 defended and declared so far
- Lost 122 council seats net, out of 267 defended and declared so far
- Lost 2 of the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners defended and declared so far, with an average drop in vote share of 12 points.
Labour have:
- Won the Blackpool South by-election on a 26% swing (the third biggest by-election swing largest in post-war period).
- Gained control of 3 councils net (gains were Hartlepool, Redditch, Rushmoor, and Thurrock, but lost Oldham)
- Gained 52 council seats net
- Gained 2 of the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far, with an average increase in vote share of 11 points.
Liberal Democrats have:
- Held 3 councils so far declared than they were defending.
- Gained 18 council seats net
- Increased vote share +3 points on average across the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far.
Green Party have:
- Gained 13 council seats net
- Vote share up on average in BBC keywards
- Increased vote share +5 points and moved into 3rd place in the only Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far they contested.
Reform Party have:
- Come 3rd on 17%, narrowly behind the Conservatives, at the Blackpool South by-election
- Vote share up on average in BBC keywards
- Increased vote share by 11 points in the only Police and Crime Commissioner they contested that has declared so far.