Local elections 2024 so far (at 7am Friday 3rd May)

What we know so far, after 1 by-election, 35 out of 107 councils, and 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared.

Bad for the Conservatives. Good for Labour, Lib Dems, Greens, and Reform UK.

Conservatives have:

  • Lost the Blackpool South by-election on a 26% swing (the third biggest by-election swing largest in post-war period).
  • Lost control of 3 councils (North East Lincolnshire, Redditch and Rushmore), out of 6 defended and declared so far
  • Lost 122 council seats net, out of 267 defended and declared so far
  • Lost 2 of the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners defended and declared so far, with an average drop in vote share of 12 points.

Labour have:

  • Won the Blackpool South by-election on a 26% swing (the third biggest by-election swing largest in post-war period).
  • Gained control of 3 councils net (gains were Hartlepool, Redditch, Rushmoor, and Thurrock, but lost Oldham)
  • Gained 52 council seats net 
  • Gained 2 of the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far, with an average increase in vote share of 11 points.

Liberal Democrats have:

  • Held 3 councils so far declared than they were defending.
  • Gained 18 council seats net 
  • Increased vote share +3 points on average across the 3 Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far.

Green Party have:

  • Gained 13 council seats net
  • Vote share up on average in BBC keywards
  • Increased vote share +5 points and moved into 3rd place in the only Police and Crime Commissioners declared so far they contested.

Reform Party have:

  • Come 3rd on 17%, narrowly behind the Conservatives, at the Blackpool South by-election
  • Vote share up on average in BBC keywards
  • Increased vote share by 11 points in the only Police and Crime Commissioner they contested that has declared so far.

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